The IVth Thomas Guggenheim Conference in the History of Economic Thought: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives
The Thomas Guggenheim Program in the History of Economic Thought and The Economics Department at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev
are honored to host:
The IVth Thomas Guggenheim Conference in the History of Economic Thought: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives
Rotem Hall, Zlotowski Student Administration Building, December 18-19, 2017
http://econhistory.bgu.ac.il/coming-conferences.html
| 10:30-12:30 | A tour at Abraham’s Well + light lunch. |
| 12:30-13:00 | Gathering. |
| 13:00-14:30 | Session A: History of Expectation Models. |
| Chair: Arie Arnon, Ben-Gurion University. | |
| Mauro Boianovsky (Universidade de Brasilia)
Discussant: Warren Young |
Between Pigou and Keynes: Champernowne on employment and expectations |
| Cristina Marcuzzo (Sapienza University of Rome)
Discussant: Robert Dimand |
The Cambridge approach to expectations: The legacy of Marshall, Keynes and Kahn |
| Amos Witztum (London School of Economics)
Discussant: Dror Goldberg |
Expectations in classical school: some lessons for today |
| 14:30-14:45 | Coffee break. |
| 14:45-16:15 | Session B: Growth, Expectations and political economy |
| Chair: Robert Dimand, Brock University | |
| Muriel Dal-Pont Legrand (Université Nice Sophia Antipolis)
Discussant: Arie Arnon |
Expectations and stability in the early growth models: a short history of growth economics |
| Warren Young (Bar-Ilan University)
Discussant: Michael Bordo |
Expectations and Planning at the FED: 1939-1941 |
| Alex Cukierman (Interdisciplinary Center)
Discussant: Assaf Razin |
International evidence on professional interest rate forecasts: The impact of forecasting ability (joint with Thomas Lustenberger) |
| 16:15-16:30 | Coffee break. |
| 16:30-18:15 | At Senate Hall – Guggenheim Award and Lecture: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives
Duncan Foley, New School for Social Research. |
| Chair: Jimmy Weinblatt, Former Rector of Ben-Gurion University. | |
| 19:00 | Dinner at Dinner at Arabica |
| Day II: Tuesday, December 19th | ||
| 9:00-10:30 | Session C: Methods and Models: Controversies in historical perspective | |
| Chair: Esther-Mirjam Sent, Radboud University. | ||
| Harald Hagemann (University of Hohenheim)
Discussant: James Forder |
Inflation Expectations and the Phillips Curve: Then and Now | |
| Robert Dimand (Brock University)
Discussant: Mauro Boianovsy |
Expectations in Tobin’s Macroeconomics: The Fisherian and Keynesian Roots of Tobin’s q and Corridor of Stability | |
| Sylvie Rivot (University of Strasbourg)
Discussant: Muriel Dal Pont Legrand |
Expectations Mismatches and the Great Depression | |
| 10:30-10:45 | Coffee break | |
| 10:45-12:15 | Session D: Expectations in Theory and Reality | |
| Chair: Elise Brezis, Bar-Ilan University | ||
| Esther-Mirjam Sent (Radboud University)
Discussant: Sylvie Rivot |
Sargent and Expectations | |
| James Forder (University of Oxford)
Discussant: Harald Hagemann |
Expectations’ in the debate over rules and discretion, 1948-1998 | |
| Assaf Razin (Cornell University, Tel Aviv University)
Discussant: Alex Cukierman |
Expectations in Israel: triumphing hyperinflation and heading off depression | |
| 12:15-13:30 | Lunch | |
| 13:30-15:00 | Session E: Expectations in Economic History | |
| Chair: Michael Bordo Rutgers University | ||
| Kim Oosterlinck (Université Libre de Bruxelles)
Discussant: Nathan Sussman |
The War That Bond Markets Didn’t Perceive as Such (The Prices of South African Bonds During the Second Anglo-Boer War: An Extreme Case of Resilience) (with Marie van Gansbeke) | |
| Dror Goldberg (The Open University of Israel)
Discussant: Amos Witztum |
This time is NOT different: Expectations and Monetary Innovation in 1691 Massachusetts | |
| Olivier Accominotti (London School of Economics)
Discussant: Nadav Ben-Zeev |
The Dawes Bonds, Selective Default and International Trade | |
| 15:00-15:15 | Coffee break. | |
| 15:15-17:00 | Panel Session: Expectations and economic history: explanations or fantasy? | |
| Chair: Kim Oosterlinck | ||
| Participants: | Michael Bordo, Rutgers University | |
| Alex Cukierman, Interdisciplinary Center. | ||
| Nathan Sussman, Hebrew University. | ||
| END OF CONFERENCE | ||
Organizing Committee:
Arie Arnon, arnona@exchange.bgu.ac.il
Karine van der Beek, kvdbeek@bgu.ac.il
Warren Young, youngwprof@yahoo.com
Jimmy Weinblatt, weinb@bgu.ac.il
Administrative manager:
Michal Bauch, minimousegi@gmail.com